Elon Musk on how he makes predictions: I generally try to get the estimate to the nearest order of magnitude.

Herbert Ong: “We want to understand how you think. For example, in the Master Plan Part II, you calculated it takes 6 billion of FSD miles driven before maybe the… pic.twitter.com/mzwkUAYb1e— ELON CLIPS (ElonClipsX) November 11, 2025 https://x.com/ElonClipsX/s...